According to recent polling data conducted by a group of social scientists from multiple universities, former President Donald Trump continues to hold a significant lead among Republicans as he vies for the party’s nomination in the 2024 presidential election. The survey, which was conducted from June 29 to August 1, 2023, included over 7,700 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents.
Despite facing various state and federal indictments, Trump remains a top contender in the race. Key findings from the survey reveal the following:
1. Leading the Pack: Trump maintains a substantial lead over his closest competitor, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, by a margin of 40 points.
2. Support Across Demographics: While Trump enjoys support from various demographic categories, he holds a particularly strong lead among Hispanic voters, individuals without higher education degrees, very conservative voters, those living in rural areas, and lower-income individuals.
3. Overwhelming Support from Very Conservative Voters: Trump’s dominance is especially evident among very conservative voters, where he outshines DeSantis by a significant margin.
4. Attracting Younger Republicans: Despite his age, Trump is garnering higher support among younger Republicans aged 18 to 44 compared to DeSantis.
5. Broad Support among Ethnic and Racial Groups: Trump’s appeal extends across all racial and ethnic groups, with a notable lead among Hispanic and white Republican voters.
6. Influence of Geography and Socioeconomic Factors: Trump maintains a solid lead in both urban and rural areas, with a particularly commanding position in very rural communities. His support is also stronger among lower-income and less-educated Republicans.
7. Unchanged by Legal Issues: Trump’s legal challenges, including recent indictments, have not significantly affected his level of support among Republican voters.
The survey suggests that Trump’s core support base remains unwavering despite legal obstacles and ongoing controversies. This steadfast support, especially among specific demographic groups, highlights his influence within the Republican Party’s base and bodes well for his prospects in the upcoming primary season.